At the moment it is very hard to work out what the Sydney property market is doing. Certainly none of the experts seem to have a handle on it.
February is always a time when we exercise more caution than usual, particularly with our investor clients. Normally at this time of the year we have a combination of a stock shortage and fresh buyer activity from rested property hunters and new entrants. It takes a while for the market to take up the slack caused by the downtime over the Xmas period, so we usually see heightened competition, increased auction clearance rates and a spike in prices. And this situation can last until the end of March. In boom years it continues unabated until spring. In 2007 I remember the market ran full steam ahead right up to Xmas!
So far this year has been no exception on two counts. There is a stock shortage and there also appears to be plenty of buyers out there.
But we are now more than halfway through February and last weekend the auction clearance rate was still only 52%, which is a similar level to where it was at the end of 2011. Some properties are languishing (more so in the higher price bracket) while others are selling way above expectations (a number of 2 bedroom cottages in Marrickville spring to mind).
The open houses over the past few weekends have also been a mixed bag. At some properties we have had to queue up before taking a peek inside, while at others we had the house and the agent to ourselves. And there hasn’t been a clear pattern as to why this is so. It is not as simple as saying that anything over $1.5M struggles while everything under $1M flies out the door. We have seen properties well under the $1M without any interested buyers.
Feedback we are getting from selling agents is that both buyers and vendors have been sitting on their hands while they wait for another interest rate drop. Now that the banks have taken matters into their own hands and instigated their own rate rises, we hear that a lot of potential vendors have decided to delay listing their properties for sale. Conversely a lot of buyers seem to have decided they are sick of waiting for lower rates and will take the plunge regardless.
So if these indications turn into a trend we will start to see a rise in both clearance rates and sale prices.
The upshot? Well, we will still exercise caution. That is certainly not to say we won’t be buying anything, however. Because we know the market so well and understand prices, we can assess value and strike accordingly. We also know when to leave something alone because it is selling at a premium that may not be sustainable come April.
And for owner occupiers who have just found their dream property it may well turn out that it is worth paying a premium and it’s just bad luck that their perfect new home came on the market now instead of a more advantageous time. Just remember to decide on your maximum limit before you begin bidding or negotiating so that the emotion doesn’t take over.




Now I do not know why some agents persist in getting a holding deposit from buyers since, in NSW, once you have had an offer accepted on a property there is absolutely nothing binding until contracts have exchanged. 



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